Archive for August 14th, 2009

How Much Should You Risk In Forex Trading

Consider a forex trader who blew out three trading accounts before he ever made any consistent forex profits. That was me. It took me losing my hard earned trading capital three times before I learned that controlling risk in my forex trading is just as important as my forex trading system.

Even an automated forex system could not save me from my high risk trading. I consider the management of risk sometimes to be more important than the forex system that one is using. Some of the things I ask myself when thinking about setting up a forex trade are very simple but they work all the time

1. I?m I trading in the Trend?

The trend is really your friend. If my forex trading robot has identified a good trend, I am more likely to increase my risk capital. On the other hand if I am automated trading signal is against the trend, I tend to decrease my risk capital.

It is a very simple method to program and the results have been amazing. It has translated in me not fearing to place a trade even when the automated signal is against the trend. I just increase my trading risk with the trend and reduce it when against the major trend.

2. How Close is the Signal to Major Indicators?

It is true that if the forex market is far from a trendline or a moving average, the market might be over extended. The best forex trades with a high chance of success are those where the trading signals occur near a trendline or a moving average.

In such situations, I increase my trading risk to take advantage of the high probability trade. When the market prices are further from the major trendline or moving average, I am more likely to reduce my trading risk.

3. How Much can You Lose or Make?

A good trading robot should enable you to know how much you are likely to lose or make even before you place your trade. Most automated forex trading systems have set stops allowing the forex trader to know how much he is bound to lose.

If I find that I am likely to make more than I am likely to lose, I would consider increasing my risk in the trade. Hand in hand with this is how far the current market price might be from a stop. There are times when the market moves very fast and even automated forex trading software are late in placing the trade. If the stop is too far from the current price, I would consider reducing my trading risk.

The concept of risk management is very simple. If you feel that the risk is too great, other than just abandoning the trade all together, one can reduce their exposure to the market and trade fewer lots. Getting the right lot sizes to trade is not easy but with practice and consistency, it becomes an essential part of your forex trading experience. It is not only discretionary traders who should trade using risk management techniques. Automated forex system traders should also incorporate that in their forex trading.

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A Forex Tutorial on Opening a Forex Account

Before you can start trading in the foreign exchange market, you must first be able to open and setup an account. Any forex tutorial will tell you that having a forex account is a prerequisite to trading. Very much like in trading in the equity market, currency trading will require you to open a trading account.

Each forex account, as well as the services that come with it, is different. Therefore, it is important that you are able to determine which one would best suit you. One of the things that will tell you more about the account you are about to open is leverage. Leverage is simply the ability to manage and influence large sums of capital using a relatively small amount of your own capital. One has to remember that the higher leverage means higher levels of risk.

Nevertheless, many forex investors see leverage as a major currency trading benefit because it can allow you to reap large gains even with just minor investments. On the other hand, leverage can also make you lose more than what you have invested if trading moves against you. Although there are firms that have protective stops to keep an account from going negative, it still helps to exercise extra caution. It also helps to remember these two contradicting scenarios when you try to determine your desired leverage when opening a forex account.

Commissions and fees also make trading accounts different. Major forex accounts normally allow you to trade without having to pay a commission fee to the broker. This is possible because in forex trading, you are dealing directly with market makers and you do not need to go through brokers. However, this does not mean that market makers do not earn money each time you engage in trading. When a trade is made, market makers gain the difference between the bid and ask prices.

There are many ways in which forex firms and the accounts that they offer can differ from one another. It is therefore recommended that you carefully evaluate each firm that you potentially would want to deal with before you commit to them. If you look back to your forex tutorial, it will remind you that each firm will deliver different programs, levels of services, and fees that can be above and beyond the actual trading costs. What is important is that you are able to review them well before making a decision, and when you do, see to it that you are dealing with a reputable firm.

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The Forex Market and This Economy

The biggest question right now is how the Forex market is being affected during these difficult economical times. It seems that even during a looming recession, Forexs performance is holding steady on the currency market and Forex forecasts are correct.

Although nothing is truly stable at the moment. Being in the market means being prepared for anything. Forex is susceptible if there are big changes, and were nervous as to whether or not we can handle.

If you are a experienced trader, then you understand that the Forex market has no competition. Your efforts in trading will be rewarded as long as you can leap out on faith and choose the Forex market. We must not be afraid to take risks in this unstable time.

Our world is in an economic recession and many traders have been in a tailspin, including me. After the September 2008 market crash, the US dollar took a major hit that nobody couldve predicted. These industries had a level of transparency that left the business world at a loss of what to do. We dont have to be helpless to events happening in other markets just because the Forex market is determined by what goes on with other markets.

Even until banks and Wall Street began to disclose their mistakes and downfalls of their books the US dollar held at a steady rate. We had absolutely no structure to backup any of our investments and foreign investors had to take second looks into current plans and future investments that were in the works. One by one our investors were jumping ship and our market recoiled.

When asking where to turn next for profit, people point towards the Asian market, where their sheer size and production will become the necessity of the world. Investors will surely turn their gaze towards these foreign markets, leading to possible controversy over safety.

Other people ask if the Swiss currency will improve, and if they should be buying from them now because the technical recession is far from over.

Forex is focused on changing regions during this time of recession. Asian markets are extremely resilient against crisis because the demand will always be there for particular goods. Prices will rise, as will their power in currency, this is where our attention should remain. The ability to be flexible is important to Forex and with a region change we may become currency investors as we can only hope that our economy can make a comeback, with Forex leading the pack.

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Become A Success In Home Based Business With Currency Trading

More and more individuals are searching for home based business opportunities. People are interested in home based businesses since they permit more family time and being at home, saving on fueling costs and earning their income doing something that fulfills their need for satisfaction. You can also make a great deal of money while working from home. However, multitudes of individuals do not know that online currency trading on the Forex market is one of the most profitable of home based business opportunities.

The internet has revolutionized with the expansion of home based business opportunities and their possibilities, including the Forex market. Online currency trading is very popular and increasing in popularity daily with people all over the world. You can now access an amazing amount of money with the Forex.

There is now software which allows people to monitor the movements of the currency markets over the web. This has made Forex trading accessible to many people who otherwise would be unable to successfully make a career for themselves as a currency trader. All you need is a computer and an internet connection!

There are some tools and strategies you’ll want to make use of if you want to get serious about making money via the Forex market…

Don’t rent out your mind! You will need to research and study so that you know the trading parameters you want to set up for yourself. Some people want to allow a greater decline in the price of an asset before the stop-loss order kicks in. Some want to see retracements of 38% while for others it’s 50% before they buy or sell. You’ll also need to keep your wit about yourself so that you don’t get caught up in your emotions.

As a newcomer to the field of Forex trading, you can benefit from the advice of an expert. Someone who has had experience in currency trading can help you to avoid the mistakes he or she did when they were getting started – this can help you to become more profitable in a shorter time.

Master your automated Forex trading software. Don’t take any shortcuts with this learning process.

In order to truly understand what you are doing, even while using your software, you need to learn trading strategies from master currency traders.

Come up with a trading discipline and then never waiver from it. If you need to adjust it from time to time to refine it and make it ever more suited to you, do so after due consideration; but when it’s in place never take any action in the Forex market that would take you outside of your discipline.

There is a lot of money which can be made in online currency trading. This is a home based business which can perform extremely well for you, as long as you have a plan and good automated Forex trading software. Do your research and learn your software thoroughly before you get started making trades.

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Forex Trading

Forex trading involves buying and selling of foreign currencies and the events takes place simultaneously.

Here one countrys currency is being purchased by that of another and the traders do so by particular price negotiations known as the exchange rate and the entire transaction is called Forex transaction.

It is being called the main pillar of all the international capital transactions worldwide put together. Forex trading has also acquired the status of being the largest markets in terms of trading volume with an estimated trading of $1.5 trillion USD worth of transactions occurring every single day.

Currency trading has exceeded the stock market too in terms of popularity and volume and under the present scenario has emerged as the most potential business in the world of trade. Huge profits are generated in Forex trading within a short span. Minor currency movements too results in great profits as compared to small profit margins in other businesses dealing with currency like commercial banking and the stock markets.

The trading throughout the world varies with respect to place and time and with respect to the daily working hours the market timings vary from place to place. Forex trading begins every Sunday at 7pm in the evening New York time, as the markets open for the week in Tokyo located in the easternmost part of the world. Next in line to open the markets is the Hong Kong and Singapore markets followed by the European markets. Last in line to follow is London and trading takes place throughout the world.

Currencies are generally traded for hedging and also for speculative purposes. Participants in the market, such as the individual traders, corporate agencies and financial institutions trade the foreign currencies for one or more reasons. It is a definitely a good platform to hedge the currency exposure, and the investors experiencing it during their normal course of trading.

Forex trading operates well in speculative markets. In just less than a decade Forex markets have grown tremendously and its present size is about 50 times that of all the other capital markets combined together. In Forex trading the most favored currencies till date are USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, and the AUD.

There is just no slippage of the market price in Forex trading no matter what the magnitude of the buy and sell orders are. Every trader has the liberty to take the better of both upward and downward trends, which surely raises the margin of profit potential. Forex trading has come to a status of being singled out as the most efficient markets in the world and there is no reason why one shouldnt agree to that!

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Currency Trading (Part II)

Cross currency pairs are as important as the major currency pairs that involve USD on either side of the transaction. The most active traded crosses focus on the three non USD currencies namely EUR, GBP and JPY. These crosses are known as the euro crosses, sterling crosses and the yen crosses. The most actively traded cross currency pairs are: EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, EUR/CHF, and NZD/JPY. Sometimes you will find more action in the cross currency pairs. Crosses enable currency traders to directly target trades to specific individual currencies to take advantage of news or events.

For a new traded there are some surprises in currency trading. You may notice that the currencies are combined in a seemingly strange way when you look up at the currency pairs. For example, if euro-yen (EUR/JPY) is a euro-yen cross, why it is not being also referred to as yen-euro (JPY/EUR)? The answer is these conventions have been designed to reflect traditionally strong currencies versus traditionally weak currencies with the strong currency coming first. Those quoting conventions were evolved over the years.

The first currency in the pair is known as the base currency. It is the base currency that you are buying or selling when you buy or sell a currency pair. The second currency in the pair is known as the counter currency. So if you buy 100,000 EUR/JPY. You have just bought 100,000 Euros and sold the equivalent amount in Japanese Yen.

Therefore you can say currency trading involves simultaneously buying and selling. Going long in currency trading means having bought a currency pair! When you are long, you are looking for the prices to go higher. You want to sell at a higher price from that where you bought. It will make you a profit. If you are long and the price goes down, you will make a capital loss.

Going short in currency trading means selling a currency pair! It means that you have sold the currency pair, meaning you have sold the base currency and bought the counter currency. When you anticipate the price of a currency pair going down, you go short in anticipation of the price going further down. This will make you a capital gain later when you exit your position. In currency trading going short is as common as going long. Unlike stock trading where you had to observe the up tick rule before you could go short. In currency trading there is no such rule.

Its called squaring up if you have an open position and you want to close it. You need to buy or go long to square up if you are short. You need to sell or short to go flat if you are long. Having no position in the market is known as being square or flat. Selling high and buying low is the standard currency trading strategy just like in any other trading.

Profit and Loss is how traders measure success and failure. A clear understanding of how P&L works is especially critical to online margin trading. When you open an online currency trading account, you will need to pony up cash as collateral to support the margin requirements established by your broker.

Profit and Loss calculations are pretty straight forward. They are based on position size and the number of pips you make or lose. A pip is the smallest increment of price fluctuation in currency pairs. Most of the currency pairs are quoted up to four decimal places except those involving JPY; they are only quoted up to 2 decimal places. Suppose GBP/USD quote is 1.2963. If the price moves from 1.2963 to 1.2983, it has gone up by 20 pips (1.2983-1.2963). Pip is the increase or decrease in the fourth decimal digit. Pips are also referred to as points.

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How to Choose a Forex Robot

I get at least 5 spam forex related emails in a day. Most have some amazing automated forex robot that will make me a lot of money in a hurry. The temptation is high to get the great forex robot, especially when it is only being offered to a few “special” forex traders.

Having fallen for such forex scams before, I am now more careful when searching for a reliable automated forex trading system. These are a few rules I use before I buy an automated forex robot.

1. Never trade before Back testing

When one looks at the results of some of the automated forex systems, one is tempted to immediately trade their real accounts. This might lead to heartache when one discovers that the automated system is not for them.

It is imperative that the forex trader finds out if a forex robot has worked before. It is not enough to read testimonials and listen to salesmen to confirm that an automated system actually works. The prudent forex trader needs to back test the results themselves so they can be confident that it actually works and also to know the inner workings of the automated system.

Other than back testing I also make an effort to forward test the system. Forward testing involves actually trading the system in a demo account with current market action. In this way I am able to find out the strengths and weaknesses of the automated system.

2. Customer Support

If a company selling a forex robot does not have customer support, I never touch it. I have bought forex systems that come with an eBook with the notion that the ebook will come with all the information I will ever need to trade the forex robot.

This is rarely the case and do not be surprised to find a forex instruction manual with poorly written English. Some forex robot vendors are in such a hurry to sell their forex robots, they never think about giving proper support for their product.

If a vendor can not take the time to give quality customer support, then it is very likely that they used the same amount of effort in creating the forex robot. If you have paid for a product, it is not too much to ask that your questions are answered so that you can use the product to the optimum level.

Over your forex trading journey, you are going to come across a new forex system every day. It is important for your profitability to ensure that your forex robot is not over optimized. Just concentrating on the win/loss ratio and the total profits of any forex robot is not encouraged. One should take the time to figure out if the forex system has positive expectancy and the system can also survive drawdown. Ignoring drawdown in an automated forex robot is a major cause of pain especially for new forex traders. Make sure that your forex robot is profitable during the good times and also conserves your trading capital during the bad times.

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Money Management in Automated Forex Trading

Automated forex trading can be profitable for even new forex traders. A good forex trader in addition tries to increase his chances of profitability by looking for forex trading robots that also include money management techniques.

A good forex trading robot should enable the forex trader to take profits, limit loses and even trail their stops. In other words, other than just being profitable, the automated forex system should also increase his trading exposure in winning periods and reduce trading exposure during losing periods.

Money management in automated forex trading is very crucial for the following reasons.

1. Preserving Capital

A forex trader who does not learn how to preserve trading capital is bound to lose it. Many forex robots only allow you to trade a system. Few are able to protect a traders capital even when they are in a drawdown. A good forex robot should be able to have trading parameters that allow the forex trader to preserve his capital when the market is not in tandem with the automated forex system.

2. Adequate Capital

Other than preserving your capital during slow forex trading periods, a good forex robot should also ensure that the trader has adequate capital to trade the system.

There is nothing worse than a forex trader entering a trade without adequate capital. It is like going to a fast food restaurant without the proper change to buy a burger. Sooner or later the under capitalized forex trader will probably lose any trading funds they might have in their account. A good automated forex system will alert you to this scenario.

3. Set Reasonable Goals

A good automated forex system will have money management techniques that will allow the forex trader set reasonable forex trading goals. Forex trading is a profitable endeavor but most traders give up when they do not achieve trading profit goals that were unrealistic.

A forex trading robot will allow the forex trader to have reasonable expectancy for their trading dependent on how much capital they have and also the performance of their robot.

4. Predetermine Loses

Many times a forex trader gets paralyzed when trying to exit a losing trade. It is common for the forex trader to exit winners too early but exiting loses is more difficult. Traders hold on to a losing position in the expectation that it will soon turn in their favor. My very first trades consisted of losing trades that were some 100 pips while my wins were in their teens.

A good forex robot will ensure that this does not happen and exit your trades at predetermined levels thus letting you conserve your trading capital. Letting the forex robot determine when you should exit a losing trade is probably one of the most important reasons to use automated forex software.

Good forex traders make it a habit to apply money management techniques especially when they are trading automated forex systems. I have realized that my best performing forex trading robots all have money management techniques built into them. Over time, even a mediocre forex robot becomes very profitable with good money management techniques.

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How to Backtest Automated Forex Systems

Automated forex systems are a great boon for forex traders. The ability to always be trading without the need of your presence is a great way to increase your profitability when trading forex. However, getting the wrong automated forex system to trade can cause major lose.

That is why it is important to backtest your automated forex system before you use your trading capital. However, you need to be able to do proper back testing for you to get the most out of your system.

1. Use Proper Forex Software for Backtesting

If you are going to risk thousands of dollars in forex trading, then you can afford getting proper forex back testing software. It is not enough to get software that is does basic testing. A forex trader needs to invest in forex software that is reliable and whose results can be verified. Get the proper forex trading tools and you may never need to worry about the viability of your forex trading system.

2. Get enough Forex Trading Data

The forex market is ever evolving and there is a need to test your automated forex strategy in different forex trading environments. There are a lot of forex data providers who provide such data for free. Your forex broker can also be a good source for such data.

Other than just the quantity of the data, make sure that your source also has quality data. If you test your automated forex system on quality and enough data, your chances of your back testing results being replicated are higher.

3. Do not Over-Optimize

Every time you change the parameters of your forex robot, you are likely to get unreliable results. Over optimizing or curve-fitting a forex system to give you better results on unrealistic parameters will give you a forex trading system that only works on paper but not in the real world.

Curve fitting normally occurs when the forex trader is using too many parameters. Try and keep the automated trading system as possible. If you create a simple forex robot and it shows profitable results on back testing, then it is more likely to work than a curve fitted forex system.

4. Adequately Test Your System

I have seen automated trading system that only work in one currency market. Most of the time such trading systems have been curve fitted. Before you trade your own funds in any forex robot, ensure that you have back tested the system on different time frames and also different currency markets.

The more time frames an automated forex system is profitable, the more likely it will work in a real environment. I have found that the best automated systems are the once that confirm that a trade is on in a higher time frame as well as in a lower time frame.

Take your time when back testing. Do not be lazy about it as it is crucial to making you a better forex trader. I never trade an automated forex system without back testing it thoroughly first.

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